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What is 96 Madness? December 28, 2011

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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Short answer is that it’s my visualization of a current 96-team bracket if Selection Sunday was today.

The long answer is that I think we’re going to get to 96 teams sooner rather than later.  Rather than waiting until the NCAA brings it back up again, I want to get the discussion out in the public sphere to see what teams would or would not be included.  There’s a standard (I love that we’ve accepted this as a standard) 68 team bracket for comparison as well.  I’ve got 6 different projections for the 96 team brackets.  The first one takes our existing format and adds 28 more at-large teams.  The second projection includes all regular season conference champions.  This is based on an assumption that the current NIT will be folded into an expanded 96 team tourney and that all regular season conference champs will be guaranteed a spot.  The third starts looking at scenarios where conferences realize they could get 2 teams in the tourney by having a regular-season conference champion and a tournament champion.  Rather than having the top-seeded team throw a game in the conference tourney, what if the NCAA guaranteed 2 spots per conference.

I know the last scenario has a slim-to-none chance of happening, but if the stated objective of the selection committee is to get more mid-major teams (Cinderella stories) involved, then this would certainly accomplish it.

Off of each of these pages, there is a derivative that excludes teams without a winning record in conference inclusive of the conference tournament.  We’ll call it the “Lunardi principle” for Joe Lunardi’s stated preference that a team have a winning in-conference record to be selected by the committee.

The losing record derivatives don’t play out until mid-January when conference games start happening.  And the differences with the Conference Champion guarantee don’t appear until conference tournaments start happening.

The projections are what the bracket would look like if Selection Sunday was today.  It’s based on a team’s body of work up to this point, not what they may or may not be in the future.

Final 2015 68 tourney projection up March 15, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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In & Out lists and Conference bid breakdown available.  There are 2 teams in this bracket with a losing record in-conference.

With UConn’s loss in the final, the bracket stays the same.

Final 2015 96 2-team projections out March 15, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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Projections for 2 teams per conference.  There are 2 teams with a losing record in conference in this bracket.  There is also a projection where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would have been the sixth team out.

Final 2015 96 Conference champ Bracket out March 15, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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The Bracket for Conference Champ guaranteed.  There are 4 teams with losing records in conference in this bracket.  There is also a bracket where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would be a 16 seed.

Final 2015 96 Tourney champ projections out March 15, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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Projections for Tourney Champ guaranteed.  There are 7 teams with losing records in conference in this bracket.  There is also a projection where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would be a 16 seed.

2015 68 tourney projection up March 15, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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In & Out lists and Conference bid breakdown available.  There are 2 teams in this bracket with a losing record in-conference.

One more update after the American final.

2015 96 2-team projections out March 13, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
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Projections for 2 teams per conference.  There are 2 teams with a losing record in conference in this bracket.  There is also a projection where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would have been the third team out.

2015 96 Conference champ Bracket out March 13, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
comments closed

The Bracket for Conference Champ guaranteed.  There are 6 teams with losing records in conference in this bracket.  There is also a bracket where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would be a 17 seed.

96 Tourney champ projections out March 13, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
comments closed

Projections for Tourney Champ guaranteed.  There are 8 teams with losing records in conference in this bracket.  There is also a projection where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would be a 17 seed.

2015 68 tourney projection up March 13, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
comments closed

In & Out lists and Conference bid breakdown available.  There are 2 teams in this bracket with a losing record in-conference.

 

2015 96 2-team projections out March 9, 2015

Posted by drudgeon in Uncategorized.
comments closed

Projections for 2 teams per conference.  There are 2 teams with a losing record in conference in this bracket.  There is also a projection where only teams with winning records in conference are included.

If Syracuse were eligible, they would have been the first team out.